With the victory of Bolsonaro or Lula, in which direction are trade and retail going? – Money Times

The first round of the 2022 election takes place next Sunday, October 2 (Image: Roberto Jayme/Ascom/TSE)

Next Sunday, October 2, the first shift Mr 2022 electionsin which voters from all over the world vote Brazil go to the polls to define which candidates will occupy the positions of President of the Republic, Governor, Senator, and Federal and State Representatives.

In these elections, the scenario of defining the president stands out, which is polarized between the current president, Jair Bolsonaroand former president, Squids.

Last Ipec researchhired TV Globeshows a favorable scenario for Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva (PT), which opened a 17-point advantage over Jair Bolsonaro (PL) and was close to winning the dispute first round.

In this survey, Lula appears with 48% of voting intentions against 31% for Bolsonaro. PT increased by one point compared to the previously published survey, while the candidate for re-election remained with the same rating.

The definition of the President of the Republic can lead to different scenarios for the sector business, retailand consumption.

THE CNC, National Confederation of Trade in Goods, Services and Tourismpoints out that it is non-partisan, but it published proposals for the sector that were presented to the presidential candidates.

CNC proposals

CNC affirms that democracy, legal certainty and free market are the three principles defended by the Confederation, which should guide the paths of the next president for continued economic and social growth.

“We cannot aspire to be a developed country if these three necessary components do not exist,” said CNC president José Roberto Tadros.

So, in relation to the sector, CNC defends:

  • The best business environment and legal security;
  • Inflation control and compliance with the consumption ceiling;
  • Rationalization of public spending and greater efficiency of the state machine;
  • Suppression of social inequalities through education;
  • Modernization of the national tax system and simplification of the tax burden;
  • Differentiated rates by production sector;
  • Creation of the Taxpayer Defense Code;
  • New Commercial Code;
  • Flexibilization of labor legislation;
  • Strengthening collective bargaining;
  • A shift from an overly regulated and sanctioned state to a mentoring role;
  • Use of arbitration, conciliation, mediation and other alternative methods of conflict resolution;
  • Trade union unity and self-regulation;
  • Regulation of electronic commerce;
  • Modernization of the logistics network of the country and reduction of transport costs;
  • Balance between environmental protection and development of economic activity;
  • Promoting the overall health of the individual and the community in different life cycles;
  • The determination of the institutions of the Economic System for public education policies.

The defended points seek to guide the principles defended by the Confederation. All suggestions and recommendations can be checked here.

Guilherme Mercês, director of economy and innovation at CNC, pointed out in an interview for Money Times that the proposal was built from the position of various entrepreneurs present in the sector, with regard to issues affecting the environment and competitiveness of companies.

Mercês emphasizes that the proposals cover tax issues, social welfare, security and a range of issues affecting the business environment of the trade.

Asked about the receptivity of the presidential candidates to the proposals, Mercês pointed out that it is positive and that it is expected that, regardless of who is elected, commercial issues will be taken care of, as this is a very important sector for economy Brazilian.

Look at the aspects of the proposals of the two candidates who are ahead of us in the polls related to trade and which talk about the proposals for trade in goods, services and tourism presented by the CNC.

The scenario with Bolsonaro in the Presidency

The government plan that he announced Jair Bolsonaro covers aspects such as technologycommercial partnerships and the development of Brazilian tourism potential.

In this way, the plan emphasizes that cutting-edge technology, clean energy, schools with curricula adapted to the needs of the digital world, flexible and adaptable industry and the ability to add value to natural resources will generate income, employment and social well-being.

The proposal also states that pragmatism is necessary in relation to other countries in this respect.

“We must seek commercial and technological partnerships with those nations that offer answers to the country’s needs, that complement what is not possible to completely dominate the national industry, and that are willing to be our partners to diversify and improve what is done here.” , he says.

Scenario with Lula in the Presidency

Government plan Squids presents proposals dealing with taxation in trade, related to the realization of a tax reform In general.

“This reform will be built from the perspective of development, “simplification” and reduction of consumption taxation, correcting tax injustice by guaranteeing tax progressivity, preserving the financing of the welfare state, restoring the federal balance, considering the transition to an ecologically sustainable economy and improving the taxation of international trade, gradually releasing products with with greater added value and built-in technology,” the plan states.

Furthermore, in relation to international trade, the Lula government’s plan defends new guidelines for trade
abroad, trade integration and international partnerships. There is still no specification as to what those guidelines would be.

* With Matheus Caselat


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